Arthur Hayes Eyes Bitcoin Bottom Near $40,000
BitMEX's Arthur Hayes sees Bitcoin bottoming near $40,000 within six months while staying long-term bullish. What it means for your trades.
24/06/2026 · 3 min de leitura · BTC · Market Analysis · Trading · Macro
Hayes calls a $40,000 Bitcoin bottom within six months
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has floated $40,000 as a possible local bottom for Bitcoin over the next six months, even while keeping a bullish long-term stance. In a recent interview covered by BeInCrypto, he described hedging his book to ride out short-term downside rather than calling the end of the bull cycle. The takeaway: a respected macro voice is preparing for a drawdown, not abandoning the asset.
Hayes is known for tactical, hedged positioning rather than blind conviction. A six-month bottom call paired with long-term optimism is a classic 'buy lower, stay invested' setup — he expects pain before the next leg up.
Why a hedged bull case matters for the market
When a trader of Hayes' profile publicly hedges, it signals that smart money is pricing in volatility, not capitulation. A $40,000 target implies a meaningful correction from current levels, which would flush leverage and reset funding before a recovery.
For the broader market, calls like this often shape sentiment and positioning. Whether or not $40,000 prints, the message is that downside is on the table and risk management beats hope.
What it means for traders
Treat $40,000 as a scenario, not a guarantee — Hayes himself frames it as a possible local bottom, not a prediction set in stone. Build a plan for both outcomes: define where you'd add on weakness and where a deeper drop invalidates your thesis.
Spot holders can use a forecast like this to ladder buy orders into lower zones instead of chasing. Leveraged traders should respect the volatility he's flagging — tighten risk, size positions conservatively, and avoid over-leverage near key levels. On OFFCODE, you can manage both sides: accumulate spot with instant PIX deposits, or run USDC perpetuals up to 50x with disciplined stops if you trade the swings.
The core lesson from Hayes is structural: hedge the short term, stay positioned for the long term. A bottom call is only useful if you have the dry powder and the risk controls to act on it.
Source
Based on reporting by bitcoinworld. Read the original: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-bottom-40000/